CSK can win Or Can MI win?

 Why CSK can win?

Pitch advantage: The Chepauk pitch is ideal for CSK's bowling lineup. Spinners like Jadeja, Noor Ahmed, and Ashwin can keep MI's middle order (Suryakumar, Tilak) at bay. This pitch doesn't usually produce big scores, so if CSK can keep MI within 160-170, they have a good chance of winning.

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Opening success: Khaleel Ahmed's two wickets have put CSK in control of the match. With MI's top order collapsing, it will be difficult for them to score runs in the middle overs.

Batting depth: CSK's batting lineup has players like Ruturaj Gaikwad, Devon Conway, Shivam Dube, and Rahul Tripathi, who can play well on slow pitches. MS Dhoni and Jadeja are also very effective as finishers. They can chase a target of 160-170.

Home advantage: CSK have a great record at Chepauk. They know how to play at this ground. The support of their fans will also boost their morale in this match.

Why MI can win?

Middle order strength: Suryakumar Yadav and Tilak Verma both play well against spin. Suryakumar is one of the best batsmen in the world in the T20 format, and if he can play an innings of 50-60 runs, MI can reach 180-190, which will be challenging on this pitch.

Bowling attack: MI has players like Jasprit Bumrah, Trent Boult, and Mitchell Santner in their bowling lineup. Bumrah and Boult can put pressure on CSK's top order (Ruturaj, Conway) with the new ball, while Santner can be effective with spin on the Chepauk pitch.

Experience: MI has experienced players like Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar, and Bumrah in their team, who know how to perform in big matches. If they can handle the pressure, the match could swing in their favor.

Past Record: MI has the upper hand in the head-to-head record between CSK and MI. Out of 39 matches, MI has won 21 times, while CSK has won 18 times. This mental advantage could work in MI's favor. Who is more likely to win?

Based on the current situation and analysis, CSK seems more likely to win. The reasons are:

MI's batting lineup is under pressure after two big wickets fell in the powerplay. It will be difficult for them to score more than 160-170 runs on this pitch.

CSK's spin attack (Jadeja, Noor Ahmed, Ashwin) can hold MI's middle order back on this pitch.

CSK's batting lineup is deep and experienced enough to chase 160-170 runs on this type of pitch.

Chepauk's home advantage and CSK's fan support will work in their favour.

However, if Suryakumar Yadav and Tilak Verma can build a big partnership and MI can score more than 180 runs, then they will have a chance to win the match with their bowling, led by Bumrah and Boult.

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Conclusion

CSK are leading the match at the moment and their chances of winning seem to be around 70%. But anything is possible in cricket, especially against an experienced team like MI. If you want to watch the match live, you can watch it on T Sports or JioHotstar.